Prospect theory and energy efficiency

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چکیده

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Prospect Theory

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When a risky decision involves both skill and chance, success or failure provides information about the decision maker’s skill. Using standard models from the principal—agent literature, we show that a concern for skill reputation can help explain the central prediction of prospect theory that people tend to overweight small probabilities and underweight large probabilities. When the odds of su...

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When a risky decision involves both skill and chance, success or failure is a signal of the decision maker's skill. Adopting standard models from the career concerns literature, we show that a rational desire to avoid looking unskilled may help explain several anomalies associated with prospect theory, including probability weighting, loss aversion, and framing. Prospect theory's four-fold patt...

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We solve a liquidation problem for an agent with preferences consistent with the prospect theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979). We find that the agent is willing to hold a risky project with a relatively inferior Sharpe ratio if the project is currently making losses, and intends to liquidate it when it breaks even. On the other hand, the agent may liquidate a project with a relatively superio...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

سال: 2019

ISSN: 0095-0696

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2019.06.005